Arsenal (@1.4) vs Aston Villa (@7.5)
23-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Arsenal will win

Arsenal – Aston Villa Match Prediction | 23-09-2019 11:30

The Villans are tough to beat at home, but they are not capable of matching top-table sides on the road. Unai Emerys troops are likely to stick to their attacking style of play against the newcomers and seeing that they are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the capital club. In their last meeting at Emirates Stadium Arsenal recorded a 4-0 win over Aston Villa.

Truth be told, if we consider the attack of Arsenal to be a productive attack - thats going to be down to the efforts of PEA. The man capable of anything, seemingly acting on the whim of divine and unseen input. If there is an edge to Arsenal, it is because Aubameyang is providing it. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang exists as the video game striker.

Highlighted Player (Bernd Leno):

The Hornets swarmed, the box was overloaded, Cleverley scored, and Watford ruined Emerys plan - which had worked up until this point. Arsenal could still play it short, and didnt have to pass it within the box under a press, but they passed it within the box, limited the passing range for the defender and succumbed to pressure.

Aston Villa will be very wary of this, especially since they have conceded 4 goals in their 2 Premier League away days since their promotion. After 5 games they find themselves on 4 points, only outside the drop zone on goal difference. Overall, its been a pretty subdued start for The Villains, with their heavy summer investment yet to yield any real returns.

The venue is the Emirates Stadium in London. Arsenal are seen as favorites in this game and are expected to dominate this fixture. In this match preview, I will try to provide the best betting tips and correct score predictions based on my analysis of these two teams. Arsenal vs Aston Villa prediction arrives ahead of the English Premier League 6th round game. The referee in this game will be John Moss. This game will be played on the 22nd of September.

Arsenal vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

Plus, if you want Over/Under 2.5 Goals predictions, visit our Over 2.5 Goals tips page. MORE: Get the very latest Premier League tips for the next round of matches on our Premier League predictions page.

In their last meeting at Emirates Stadium Arsenal recorded a 4-0 win over Aston Villa. Unai Emerys troops are likely to stick to their attacking style of play against the newcomers and seeing that they are a real force to be reckoned with at home, we believe that there is a big value in betting on the capital club. The Villans are tough to beat at home, but they are not capable of matching top-table sides on the road.

Taking into account that Aston Villa have not been able to breach this foe in their last three trips here as well, by all means, count on Arsenal to open the scoring. Additionally, the away side have not been a threat in the final third are without a goal to their names in their last two games in a running.

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They were stunned, with a 2:1 home loss to Bournemouth and have not recovered since. That was not a start they have wished for. Aston Villa will be fighting hard to avoid being relegated this season. They will be missing Chester and Kodjia in this game. Aston VIlla will try to surprise here and somehow avoid third defeat early in the season.

Nobody can really stop an elite player like him. Aston Villa managed to keep Sebastien Haller quiet on Monday, and that should improve their confidence. For Villa, stopping Aubameyang is a side-goal. Villa have shown that they will be a challenge for Aubameyang, but it really is a matter of time. Mings and Engels will try, and there is some hope for AVFC. If they can hold tight for 90 minutes, then there will be no better proof of Villas defensive credentials without being typically defensive. Understat have Haller at 3.21 xG while Aubameyang has racked up 2.53 xG.

In the scatter graph above, produced by the excellent Experimental361, we can see that Aston Villa head the graph and fall into the competent but busy category when defensive effectiveness is highlighted. This shows that Aston Villa, more than most teams, are capable of absorbing shots. Villa are giving away around 18 shots a game, but are capable of accepting 15 before a goal is scored. A well-organised defence like Villas is able to restrict shooting space in the box and act on reflex, there is plenty of reason to have faith in that. Teams arent simply being wasteful against the Villa either - Tyrone Mings is the league leader in shots blocked per 90 minutes and Tom Heaton in goal is a superb shot-stopper.

Prediction correct score: 1 - 2

The scatter above shows that while Villa are close to the median, their defence is keeping them from drifting away from the pack. For the shots that Villa face, vs their xG allowed per game, Villa are doing quite well at the back. Its rare that a team outside of the top four is the complete package, but Villa need to create quality chances more often and drag themselves towards the left of this graph without sacrificing their defensive capabilities.