Atlanta (M Foltynewicz) (@1.9) vs Washington (A Voth) (@1.86)

Our Prediction:

Washington (A Voth) will win
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Atlanta (M Foltynewicz) – Washington (A Voth) Match Prediction | 14-09-2019 16:05

The Braves have 1,313 hits, including 255 doubles and 234 home runs. The Braves hold a .457 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .366. He has totaled 171 hits and he has driven in 117 men in 565 at bats. As a team Atlanta is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. He has 167 hits this season in 594 at bats with 95 runs batted in. Atlanta has walked 562 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,334 times as a unit. They score 5.34 runs per contest and have scored a total of 791 runs this year. His OPS+ is 141 while his slugging percentage is at .568. He has a slugging percentage of .517 and an OPS+ of 122. They have left 1,030 men on base and have a team OPS of .794. Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .393.

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The Braves have a 91-57 overall record this season. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.41 and they have given up 515 base hits on the year. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. Atlanta as a pitching staff has walked 519 batters and struck out 1,276. He has 88 strikeouts over his 99 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 538 hitters and walked 235 batters. He's allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.28. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. Starting pitcher Mike Foltynewicz has a 6-5 record with an earned run average of 5.00 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 4.25. The Braves pitchers collectively have given up 1,309 base hits and 626 earned runs. They have allowed 191 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league.

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The Atlanta Braves will look to win the set after dropping game two on Wednesday by a final score of 7-4. In his career, Foltynewicz is 1-3 with a 6.88 ERA and 11 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. Dansby Swanson went 2 for 4 with a solo home run and a double while Ronald Acuna Jr. Nick Markakis had a double and an RBI while Austin Riley chipped in an RBI of his own to finish off Atlantas scoring in the defeat. Kevin Gausman took the loss, falling to 2-5 on the year after allowing all seven runs on 12 hits while striking out three over five innings of work. Mike Foltynewicz will start game three and is 1-4 with a 6.10 ERA and 32 strikeouts this season. added a solo home run of his own in the losing effort. Josh Donaldson added a double of his own as the Braves cranked out just six hits as a team.

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The Nationals hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 4th in baseball. He has 147 hits this year along with 105 RBI in 496 AB's. Washington has walked 512 times this year and they have struck out on 1,182 occasions. As a team, they are batting .264, good for 6th in the league. Anthony Rendon is hitting .335 this season and he has an OBP of .418. They have had 997 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. Juan Soto comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .405. They have scored 5.4 runs per game and totaled 783 runs this season. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. He maintains a slugging percentage of .579 with an OPS+ of 145. He has an OPS+ of 160 and a slugging percentage of .631. The Nationals as a unit have 1,309 base hits, including 268 doubles and 212 homers. He has collected 166 hits in 496 at bats while driving in 117 runs.

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He also has given up 24 hits. He's allowing 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.62. Teams are hitting .267 against the Nationals bullpen. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.81 and they have given up 476 base hits on the year. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. As a team, Washington allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. Washington as a staff has walked 465 hitters and struck out 1,348 batters. Washington has a 81-64 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.00, Austin Voth has a 1-1 record and a 1.19 WHIP. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,219 base knocks and 623 earned runs this season. Their relievers have struck out 449 batters and walked 198 opposing hitters. He has 30 strikeouts over the 27 innings he's pitched. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.19. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.4 per 9.

The Braves won their second straight game in the series and eighth in a row overall Friday, a 4-3 victory that pushed Atlantas division lead to nine games over the Nationals. The Atlanta Braves knew entering their four-game home weekend series with the Washington Nationals that they could all but seal their second consecutive National League East title, and entering Saturdays third game they have put a stranglehold on the division while suffocating their closest contender.

Atlanta is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Pittsburgh. Atlanta is 1-8 in Foltynewiczs last 9 starts and 5-2 in their last 7 road games while the over is 6-0-1 in their last 7 games overall. Pittsburgh is 1-6 in Archers last 7 starts and 6-16 in their last 22 home games while the over is 4-0 in Archers last 4 starts against a team with a winning record.

Atlanta Braves

Instead of trying to figure out a winner here, Im going to side with the over. Foltynewicz has allowed four or more runs in five of his seven starts this season and has a paltry ERA just under seven against Pittsburgh in his career, while Archer has allowed four or more runs in four of his last five starts. Its genuinely hard to pick a side as Atlanta is the better team and Pittsburgh has been brutal at home, but I got burned with the Braves on Wednesday and Folty hasnt been good so far this season. This is another game that I could see the teams combining for double-digits, so Ill take my chances on the over.