Pittsburgh Pirates (@2.55) vs Chicago Cubs (@1.5)

Our Prediction:

Chicago Cubs will win

Pittsburgh Pirates – Chicago Cubs Match Prediction | 13-09-2019 16:05

Chicago is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is 6-21 in their last 27 games overall and 9-26 in their last 35 division games while the over is 5-1-1 in Braults last 7 home starts. Chicago is 1-6 in their last 7 games overall and 10-26 in their last 36 road games while the over is 7-3-2 in their last 12 games overall.

Jon Lester got the win to improve his record to 10-8 on the year after giving up just four hits while walking five and striking out three over six shutout innings. In his career, Quintana is 4-1 with a 2.81 ERA and 50 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. Kris Bryant had a solo home run while Addison Russell, Ian Happ and Jonathan Lucroy each had base hits as the Cubbies cranked out just four hits as a team in the winning effort. Jose Quintana will start game three and is 10-7 with a 4.11 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. Rowan Wick closed out the 9th for his 1st save. The Chicago Cubs will look to win the set after taking game two on Saturday by a final score of 2-0.

DMVI = (Daily Market Value Index) The DMVI is our researched and calculated line compared to the bookmakers line. When calculating the DMVI, we look for the margin of error between the bookmakers line, the final result of a game and then produce the value of what the line should be in the next game for both teams. The DMVI is a tool to find value vs. the current line.

Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates odds, predictions, picks and best bets

Tony Kemp had a triple and both of Chicagos RBIs in the loss, while Javier Baez added a double and Jonathan Lucroy, Ian Happ and Kris Bryant each had a base hit as the Cubs cranked out just five hits as a team in the loss. In his career, Lester is 10-6 with a 3.18 ERA and 102 strikeouts against Pittsburgh. Jon Lester will start game two and is 9-8 with a 4.43 ERA and 129 strikeouts this season. Brandon Kintzler took the loss, falling to 2-2 on the year as a result. The Chicago Cubs will be out to snap a four game losing streak after starting the series with a 3-2 loss in game one on Friday. Kyle Hendricks gave up one run on three hits over seven innings of work, not factoring in the decision.

As predicted the road is not being kind to the Cubs who have now lost three straight to the Pirates, for straight overall and 7 of their last 10. The Cubs should be in panic mode in an effort to stop the bleeding. The Chicago Cubs 45-42 SU will attempt to do a little better when they take on the Pirates 42-43 SU tonight in an effort to avoid the sweep.

Quintana also hasnt taken a loss in any of his last eight starts dating back to late-May. The plus money with Pittsburgh would be worth a look, but Keller is still young in his career, and still has to prove that hes capable of handling the big boys despite a solid start on the road last time out. The Cubs need this game way more than Pittsburgh does, so Ill lay the juice with the Cubs on the road behind another strong start from Quintana. This is a hefty price for the Cubs on the road given their struggles away from Wrigley, but Quintana has been rolling, giving up one earned in back-to-back starts while striking out 21 over that short span.

Spread: Chicago Cubs -140

Mitch Keller will start game three and is 1-1 with a 7.94 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. Adam Frazier had a double while Starling Marte, Kevin Newman and Elias Diaz each had a base hit as Pittsburgh also had four hits as a team in the loss with the rest of the team going 0 for 19 with 3 strikeouts. Steven Brault took the loss, falling to 3-2 on the year after allowing one run on two hits while striking out eight over seven innings of work. The Pittsburgh Pirates will look to rebound to take the series after dropping game two on Saturday. This will be Kellers first career start against the Cubs.

The 30-year-old enters Sunday with a 4.11 ERA and 4.21 xFIP with 8.23 strikeouts per nine innings and 2.39 walks. He walked one and gave up just one earned run (two total). He has been best on the road with a 4.06 ERA through 62 innings as the visitor, but opponents post a collective .318 wOBA. Quintana is coming off a career-best 14-strikeout performance over six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies.

After we process it through our math predictor, we then provide a CHANCES OF COVERING percentage for that game, which lets you know if theres any value on the OVER in that game. = (Chances Game Going OVER) The C.O.G.O. percentage is based on both teams OVER/UNDER record, using both teams short and long-term OVER/UNDER records. C.O.G.O. *Note: If theres a 60% chance of the game going OVER, that means, theres a 40% chance of the game going UNDER.

Chris has been a sports fan from when he was old enough to pick up a basketball and was a standout offensive lineman throughout high school and college. Chris has been writing for Sports Chat Place since 2016 and covers a wide array of sports from college and pro football, college basketball, hockey and baseball. Chris uses that same instinct, determination and drive to analyze trends and statistics to find and producewinners on a consistent basis.