Trillick (@1.72) vs Dromore (@2.37)
06-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Trillick will win

Trillick – Dromore Match Prediction | 06-09-2019 15:30

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The numbers shown are our best estimates for these figures, but are not official. The wards used are those of 2015, to match those used by the Boundary Commissions. In Northern Ireland, local election results are only available at the DEA (multiple ward) level,so local distinctions between individual wards may not be visible. Please note that general election results and electorates are not officially made available ward-by-ward.

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The 15th and 14th placed teams then play a SFL relegation playoff with the loser being relegated. The 16th placed team in the SFL is automatically relegated to the IFL. (The winner of the SFC can't be relegated. The winner plays the winner of the IFL promotion playoffs - if they win, they remain in the SFC and SFL - if they lose they are relegated to the IFC and IFL. Either two or three teams are relegated each year from the SFC and SFL.

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To correct for this, we also use Census demography tomake an alternative estimate of how the ward voted in the general election, based on any demographic differences betweenthe ward and the seat overall. Because not all parties have a candidate in each ward, and sometimes there is only a single candidate elected unopposed,the local election results can understate a party's true support.

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